Ik heb geen vraag over crypto maar een vraag over het valutapaar USDCHF. Is de kans groter dat de dollar binnenkort stijgt ten opzichte van de Zwitserse Frank of is de kans groter dat de Zwitserse Frank stijgt ten opzichte van de Amerikaanse Dollar.

Answered at Nov 30, 2024

USD/CHF Exchange Rate Outlook

Current Market Situation

The USD/CHF currency pair has been experiencing significant fluctuations. As of November 30, 2024, the pair is trading at approximately 0.88122 Swiss francs per US dollar. Over the past few months, the Swiss franc has shown strength against the US dollar, continuing a trend that has been observed for the last two years (LiteFinance).

Factors Influencing USD/CHF

Several factors are influencing the USD/CHF exchange rate:

  • Monetary Policies: The Swiss National Bank (SNB) and the US Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions play a crucial role. Recent rate cuts by the US Fed have contributed to the strengthening of the Swiss franc (LiteFinance).

  • Economic Indicators: Macroeconomic indicators from both countries, such as inflation rates and GDP growth, impact the exchange rate. The Swiss franc's safe-haven status also attracts investors during economic uncertainty (LiteFinance).

  • Technical Analysis: The USD/CHF pair is currently trading within a "Falling wedge" pattern, suggesting potential for a bullish reversal if the pair breaks above the upper boundary (LiteFinance).

Short-Term Forecast

In the short term, the Swiss franc is expected to continue its strength against the US dollar. Analysts predict a decrease in the USD/CHF rate by approximately 0.48% in the next 24 hours (CoinCodex). The exchange rate is forecasted to move to CHF 0.880767 within the next week.

Long-Term Forecast

Looking further ahead, the Swiss franc is anticipated to rise by 0.82% against the US dollar by the end of 2024, reaching a rate of CHF 0.887486 (CoinCodex). By 2025, the forecast suggests a potential increase to CHF 0.956084, representing an 8.61% rise from the current rate.

Conclusion

Based on the current data and forecasts, the likelihood of the Swiss franc strengthening against the US dollar appears higher in both the short and long term. The combination of favorable economic indicators for Switzerland, recent US Fed rate cuts, and technical analysis supports this outlook. Investors should monitor key support and resistance levels, such as 0.8375 and 0.8546, to make informed trading decisions (LiteFinance).