Answered at Aug 03, 2024

Here is my analysis report on Coinbase's Base blockchain and its potential for investment:

Coinbase's Base Blockchain: Utility and Investment Potential

Introduction

Coinbase, the leading U.S. cryptocurrency exchange, recently launched its own layer-2 blockchain called Base on August 9, 2023. Built using Optimism's OP Stack, Base aims to provide a scalable, low-cost platform for developers to build decentralized applications (dApps) and bring the next wave of crypto adoption. This report analyzes the utility and investment potential of Base based on available information.

Base Blockchain Overview

Base is an Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) compatible layer-2 blockchain that leverages Optimistic rollups to enable fast and cheap transactions. Some key features of Base include:

  • Low transaction costs of around 1 cent
  • Fast transaction speeds of about 1 second
  • Seamless interoperability with Ethereum and other EVM-compatible chains
  • Developer-friendly tools and infrastructure
  • Backed by Coinbase's brand, security, and compliance

Base had over $133 million in total value locked (TVL) across various dApps even before its public mainnet launch, ranking it as the 5th largest layer-2. Over 100 dApps are already set up or ready to deploy on Base.

Utility and Use Cases

Coinbase sees Base as the platform that will enable the next phase of crypto utility and innovation beyond just speculation. The low costs and high speeds of Base open up many use cases like:

  • Payments and money transfers
  • Decentralized finance (DeFi)
  • NFTs and digital collectibles
  • Gaming and virtual worlds
  • Social networks and creator economies

By making it easy for both developers to build and users to access dApps, Base could help onboard millions of people into the crypto ecosystem. Coinbase itself plans to build user-friendly interfaces and "first-party" products on top of Base protocols.

Ecosystem and Adoption

Base has garnered support from major companies like Coca-Cola and Atari who are participating in its "Onchain Summer" launch event. This corporate interest, combined with Coinbase's large existing user base of 110+ million verified users, gives Base a strong foundation for adoption.

However, Base will face competition from other established layer-2s like Arbitrum and Optimism, as well as alternative layer-1 blockchains. Its long-term success will depend on the quality of dApps built on it and Coinbase's ability to drive usage.

Tokenomics and Revenue Model

Unlike many other blockchains, Base does not have its own native token currently and Coinbase says it has no plans to launch one. Instead, Ethereum will serve as the base asset of the chain.

Coinbase has stated that it sees Base primarily as an investment in innovation rather than a direct profit center. The revenue opportunity lies more in the applications built on Base, which Coinbase can monetize by making them easily accessible to users and charging fees.

Base will earn some revenue from sequencer fees as the operator of the blockchain. But Coinbase believes most of the upside will come from the growth of the overall crypto economy that Base enables.

Regulatory Considerations

As a publicly traded company, Coinbase has to navigate a complex regulatory landscape in launching its own blockchain. There is no clear playbook for this.

Coinbase has emphasized Base's decentralization and open, permissionless nature as key to enabling a global on-chain economy. But it will have to balance this with compliance obligations.

The lack of a Base token may help avoid some regulatory scrutiny. But Coinbase will still need to ensure the dApps and assets on Base comply with securities laws and other rules.

Investment Potential

Investing in Base directly is not possible as there is no Base token or equity. The closest proxy would be investing in Coinbase stock (NASDAQ:COIN).

Coinbase's stock price has been highly correlated with the overall crypto market, especially Bitcoin. So the performance of COIN will likely depend more on macro crypto sentiment than Base itself, at least initially.

Longer-term, if Base succeeds in driving significant adoption and usage of dApps, it could meaningfully contribute to Coinbase's revenue and growth. A thriving Base ecosystem would make Coinbase's platform more valuable.

However, this upside is hard to quantify currently given the early stage of Base and the uncertain path of crypto regulation. Competition from other blockchains is also a risk.

As such, an investment in Coinbase based on Base alone would be speculative. It should be considered within the context of Coinbase's overall business and the crypto industry.

Conclusion

Base is an ambitious move by Coinbase to position itself at the center of the next phase of crypto innovation. By providing a low-cost, scalable platform, Base aims to enable a wave of new decentralized applications and use cases.

The backing of Coinbase gives Base a strong starting point in terms of adoption and ecosystem. But its long-term success is not guaranteed given the competitive and regulatory landscape.

For investors, exposure to Base can be gained through Coinbase stock. But this should be evaluated based on Coinbase's full business, not just Base. As with any crypto-related investment, the risks are high and returns are uncertain.

Ultimately, Base represents a significant bet by Coinbase on the future of crypto utility. If successful, it could help drive the next major wave of adoption. But it is still early in Base's journey and much remains to be seen.