Apple's 'Blockchain-ish' Move: A Catalyst for Base Chain's Explosive Growth?

Answered at Aug 27, 2024

As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, an unexpected player has entered the blockchain arena: Apple Inc. The tech giant's recent foray into "blockchain-ish" technology for its Private Cloud Compute (PCC) system has sent ripples through the crypto community, potentially setting the stage for a seismic shift in the adoption of layer-2 solutions like Base, Coinbase's Ethereum scaling platform.

Apple's Senior VP of Software Engineering, Craig Federighi, recently described the company's PCC system as using a "blockchain-ish" model to ensure user privacy. This revelation, coupled with CEO Tim Cook's previous statements about the company's interest in cryptocurrency, has ignited speculation about Apple's future role in the blockchain ecosystem.

Meanwhile, Base, Coinbase's layer-2 blockchain, has been experiencing explosive growth. Since late March 2024, Base has consistently maintained over 350,000 daily active users, with daily transactions surging from under 500,000 to more than 3 million in just one month. The platform's Total Value Locked (TVL) has more than tripled, jumping from $437 million at the start of 2024 to over $1.6 billion by April's end.

This remarkable growth coincides with Apple's increasing interest in blockchain technology, as evidenced by recent patent applications for a "Distributed Network Management System" that mentions potential blockchain use. While there's no direct link between Apple's moves and Base's success, the timing suggests a broader trend of mainstream tech giants embracing blockchain solutions.

From an investment perspective, this convergence of events presents intriguing opportunities. Apple stock ($AAPL), trading at a discount compared to other "Magnificent Seven" stocks as of April 2024, could see significant upside if the company further integrates blockchain technology into its ecosystem. Similarly, Coinbase stock ($COIN) offers exposure to Base's growth, with the platform generating $56 million in revenue for Coinbase in Q2 2024 alone.

However, investors should approach with caution. The cryptocurrency space remains highly volatile and subject to regulatory uncertainties. Apple's historically conservative approach to adopting new technologies means that any significant blockchain integration could be years away. Additionally, Base faces stiff competition from other layer-2 solutions, which could limit its growth potential.

Looking ahead, I predict that Apple's exploration of blockchain-like technologies will accelerate the adoption of layer-2 solutions like Base. As more mainstream users become comfortable with blockchain concepts through interactions with trusted brands like Apple, the demand for scalable, low-cost blockchain platforms will likely surge. This could lead to a 50% increase in Base's daily active users by the end of 2025, potentially pushing its TVL past the $5 billion mark.

Furthermore, I anticipate that Apple's involvement will prompt other tech giants to explore similar "blockchain-ish" solutions, creating a ripple effect across the industry. This could result in a new wave of blockchain-based privacy and security features in consumer technology, driving increased interest and investment in the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem.

In conclusion, the convergence of Apple's blockchain exploration and Base's rapid growth signals a potential turning point for mainstream blockchain adoption. While direct investment options in Apple's blockchain initiatives are limited, savvy investors may find opportunities in adjacent areas such as Coinbase stock or promising projects built on the Base platform. As always, thorough due diligence and a long-term perspective are essential when navigating the dynamic and often unpredictable world of cryptocurrency investments.